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Market Wire: Hawkish Payrolls Report Lifts Dollar

CalendarOctober 7, 2022
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Ahead of the release, investors were positioned for a 250,000-job gain, with the unemployment rate seen holding at 3.7 percent. 

The dollar climbed on the print as interest rates rose slightly across the front end of the curve. Stock futures slipped. 

On the colder side of the border, Canada generated 21,100 jobs in September, modestly topping expectations for a 20,000-position increase. According to data released by Statistics Canada, the unemployment rate fell to 5.2 percent from 5.4 percent in August. Average hourly wages grew 5.2 percent on a year-over-year basis, up from the 5.4 percent pace recorded in the prior month. 

The data will reinforce odds on a 50 basis point move at the Bank of Canada’s next meeting, and raise expectations farther out. In a speech yesterday, Governor Tiff Macklem said “All the signs today point to an economy that is clearly in excess demand. Labour markets remain very tight. Job vacancies have eased a little in recent months but remain exceptionally high. Our business surveys report widespread labour shortages. And wage growth has risen and continues to broaden.” 

Author

Karl Schamotta

Karl Schamotta

Chief Market Strategist

Karl leads Corpay’s currency research group, focused on analyzing shifts in the world economy and creating strategies that help businesses harness market volatility.

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